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    עמוד בית
    Mon, 09.06.25

    IRON SWORDS

    IMAJ | volume 26

    Journal 3, March 2024
    pages: 141-142

    A Statistical Approach to the High Mortality Rate of Israeli Citizens Held Hostage in Gaza

    1 Deputy Director Office, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel 2 Department of Pediatrics, Shaare Zedek Medical Center, affiliated with the Hadassah–Hebrew University School of Medicine, Jerusalem, Israel 3 Leumit Health Services and Research Institute, Tel Aviv, Israel 4 Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel

    Full article (PDF)

    Summary

    Background:

    According to Hamas sources, many Israeli hostages in Gaza were killed by indiscriminate Israeli airstrikes, together with a large number of Palestinian citizens.

    Objectives:

    To verify whether the estimated death rate of Israeli hostages was similar to the estimated death rate of Gaza citizens from these acts of war.

    Methods:

    We used two estimates of hostage death rates, one obtained from Israeli intelligence sources, and one published by a Hamas spokesperson. We used the Palestinian casualty rates published by the Palestinian Ministry of Health. We compared death rates using Fisher's exact test.

    Results:

    By 30 December 2023, the rate of Israeli hostage death was 23/238 (9.7%) according to Israeli intelligence sources, and 60/238 (25.2%) according to Hamas. Both figures are strikingly and significantly higher than the death rate among Palestinians, estimated to be 19,667/2.2 million (0.89%) by 19 December 2023 (P < 0.0001).

    Conclusions:

    Israeli airstrikes as the cause of death of Israeli hostages are implausible unless they were specifically exposed to these strikes more than Palestinian citizens.

    Full article (PDF)
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